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ARMA model to predict the condition of the development of Hebei Province Based on
future economic
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ZHAI Chao1, WANG Ling2
(No.1 Logistics Group of Hebei United University,Tangshan Hebei 063009,China;2. Publishing
Management Center,Hebei United University,Tangshan Hebei 063009,China)
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Key words: ARIMA; the total area of Hebei province income; time series analysis
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Abstract: In most times series has inertiate, or it is slow. Through the analysis of this kind of inertia, the future value is estimated by the current time series. This paper adopt the GDP data area of Hebei Province from 1978 to 2011 as the research object. If the data is smoothing and do relevant analysis.Then we found that ARIMA (2, 2) model is better to do time series analysis and prediction on the gross income of Hebei province.
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